Jefferies bullish on The Home Depot (HD) following Mingledorff acquisition

Ramit Sethi

Author of "I Will Teach You to Be Rich," focusing on psychology and systems for a rich life without guilt.

On March 24, 2026, Jefferies analysts reaffirmed their optimistic stance on The Home Depot (HD), reiterating a "Buy" rating. This positive outlook follows the company's announcement of its acquisition of Mingledorff's. Analysts predict that this strategic move will significantly boost the combined Total Addressable Market (TAM) for Home Depot and SRS Distribution by an impressive $100 billion. This expansion is seen as a key factor in strengthening the company's long-term earning power through the consolidation of the building products distribution industry. Furthermore, the acquisition is expected to accelerate Home Depot's growth trajectory within the HVAC distribution sector.

Simultaneously, BNP Paribas also released a research note on the same day, detailing adjustments to their valuation model for The Home Depot. Despite trimming the target multiple from 19.5x to 17.5x EV/EBIT due to broader market downturns and shrinking multiples, BNP Paribas expressed support for the acquisition. They highlighted that the Mingledorff's deal effectively complements Home Depot's existing product offerings and aligns well with its geographic expansion strategies. However, BNP Paribas maintained a "Neutral" rating for the stock and revised its price target downwards from $391 to $348.

The Home Depot is a prominent American retailer specializing in home improvement, offering a vast array of building materials, tools, appliances, and various services. The company caters to both professional contractors and do-it-yourself customers through its extensive network of physical stores, online platforms, and diverse delivery channels. While Home Depot presents a compelling investment opportunity, it is worth noting that certain AI-focused stocks might offer even greater upside potential with reduced risk, particularly those poised to benefit from current economic trends.

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